Brazil in Data: Disasters, Environment, and Society

How Rio Grande do Sul was submerse: April-May 2024

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About
OpenDataFlood is a data-driven project aimed at exploring the structural, environmental, and policy-related conditions that contributed to the catastrophic flood in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil, in 2024.

In addition to focusing on Rio Grande do Sul, OpenDataFlood contextualizes the state within the broader national landscape, comparing rainfall intensity and public spending with other Brazilian states.

The project utilizes a wide range of datasets, including meteorological data, public spending records, and environmental indicators, to analyze the factors that led to the flood. It also examines the role of public policies in disaster preparedness and response.

By making this data accessible and visualizing it through interactive maps and charts, OpenDataFlood aims to raise awareness about the vulnerabilities of Brazilian states to climate change and the importance of effective public policies in mitigating such disasters.

Climatic conditions

Using monthly precipitation records from meteorological stations across Brazil.

Environmental transformation

Through long-term data on urban expansion and deforestation at the municipal level.

Preparedness and response

By analyzing historical federal investments in civil defense actions (2014–2025).

Disaster records

Based on the national system for disaster notifications (S2ID), showing patterns of climate-related emergencies across municipalities.

All the information is available in the Open Data Floods GitHub repository Consult the documentation
Repository
Scenario
What happen in 2024 in Rio Grande de Sul?

The 2024 flood in Rio Grande do Sul was not an isolated event but the result of complex and interconnected factors. While the affected municipalities did not show sharp increases in urban sprawl or extensive deforestation at the local level, Brazil’s broader environmental and climatic systems reveal deeper structural vulnerabilities.


Rio Grande do Sul is Brazil’s southernmost state, home to approximately 11 million people—around 5% of the country's total population. It is one of Brazil's most economically developed regions, with a strong agricultural, industrial, and service-based economy. As such, a natural disaster in this region carries broad national consequences, affecting supply chains, food production, and infrastructure.


In May 2024, the state experienced one of the worst floods in its history. According to official data, over 2.3 million people were directly affected, with more than 400 municipalities impacted by heavy rains, river overflows, landslides, and infrastructure collapse. Cities like Porto Alegre, the capital, faced record-breaking water levels and mass displacements.


Scientific research shows that deforestation in key biomes like the Amazon and the Cerrado has far-reaching effects on rainfall distribution across the South American continent. These changes in the atmospheric water cycle can intensify extreme weather events even in regions geographically distant from the deforested areas.


This project uses official open data from Brazilian institutions—such as INMET, IBGE, MapBiomas, and the Transparency Portal—to trace these connections. It integrates precipitation patterns, land use data, and public investment in disaster prevention to shed light on the systemic nature of climate risk in Brazil. Rio Grande do Sul is analyzed in detail, but always in the context of national patterns of environmental change and institutional preparedness.


By revealing spatial and temporal patterns through data visualization, OpenDataFlood aims to inform climate governance, support evidence-based policy, and promote public engagement with environmental accountability.

Research Questions
How did long-term environmental changes across Brazil contribute to the conditions that made the 2024 flood in Rio Grande do Sul so severe?
What does the data reveal about local land use trends in the affected municipalities, and how do they compare to broader national patterns of deforestation and urban growth?
How do public investments in civil defense vary by region, and are they aligned with the intensity and frequency of climate-related events?
Can open government data help anticipate future climate risks and guide more equitable and effective policies for disaster prevention and adaptation?
What are the limits of local interventions when facing environmental changes driven by large-scale biome degradation?
Results
Datasets
Including meteorological, land-use, demographic and disaster records supporting the analysis
Affected people
Total affected people during the 2024 flood in Rio Grande do Sul, based on official S2ID data
Municipalities
Officially impacted by the event, nearly 90% of the entire state.
Extreme rainfall
Milimeters measured in several areas during May 2024, the highest in decades.
Urbanization growth
Average urbanization growth across RS municipalities between 2013 and 2023.
Investments
Allocated to Civil Defense nationwide (2014–2024), based on Transparency Portal data (Reais Currency).